EW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
EW Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.77 vs. cons $0.73 MEDIUM
EW Report TAVR revenue BEAT pred ~$1.25B vs. cons ~$1.24B LOW
EW Report TMTT revenue BEAT pred ~$192M (+43%) vs. cons ~$187M (+39%) MEDIUM
EW Guide FY2026 total sales guide UNCHANGED guide ~$6.5-6.9B (9-11%) vs. cons ~$6.7B (FY2026) MEDIUM
EW Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$2.95-3.05 (mid ~$3.00) vs. cons ~$3.00 (FY2026) MEDIUM
EW Guide FY2026 TMTT sales guide BETTER guide raised to ~$760-790M vs. cons ~$765M (FY2026) MEDIUM
EW Guide FY2026 TAVR growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~$4.7-5.0B (7-9%) vs. cons ~$4.85B (FY2026) MEDIUM
EW Guide TAVR NCD draft memo / US share signal commentary UNKNOWN draft memo timing ~mid-2026 (now flagged by Q4 2026) vs. mkt expecting content this call; US share read TBD (H2 2026) LOW
EW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
EW Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) Stock already de-risked (~11% pullback into print, flat YTD), so a Q1-style EPS beat plus a likely TMTT guide raise should drive a positive day-1 residual (~+2.5%). But management has telegraphed tougher H2 comps and is likely to hold the total-company sales/EPS ranges rather than raise the full framework again; that out-period math implies 2H deceleration and caps upward estimate revisions. Combined with unresolved NCD-memo timing and TAVR-share ambiguity, the initial pop partially fades over the week toward a smaller residual (~+1%). LOW