FCX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FCX Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.65 vs. cons $0.61 MEDIUM
FCX Report Consolidated copper sales IN-LINE pred ~697M lb vs. cons 692M lb MEDIUM
FCX Report Consolidated unit net cash costs BEAT pred ~$2.12/lb vs. cons $2.24/lb MEDIUM
FCX Guide Copper sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~3.10B lb vs. cons 3.10B lb (FY2026) MEDIUM
FCX Guide Gold sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~650K oz vs. cons 650K oz (FY2026) MEDIUM
FCX Guide Consolidated unit net cash-cost guidance BETTER guide ~$1.92/lb vs. cons $1.95/lb (FY2026) LOW
FCX Guide Grasberg production capacity UNCHANGED guide ~65% of capacity vs. cons 65% of capacity (2H2026) MEDIUM
FCX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
FCX Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) The Q2 beat should be driven mainly by copper pricing, by-product credits and lower cash costs; unchanged FY2026 copper sales of 3.10B lb and unchanged 2H2026 Grasberg capacity of 65% would limit out-period volume revisions, causing part of the initial execution-relief rally to fade. MEDIUM