FCX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FCX Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.65 vs. cons $0.62 MEDIUM
FCX Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$6.56B vs. cons $6.47B MEDIUM
FCX Report Consolidated copper sales IN-LINE pred ~695M lb vs. cons 690M lb MEDIUM
FCX Guide FY26 consolidated copper sales UNCHANGED guide ~3.10B lb vs. cons 3.10B lb (FY26) MEDIUM
FCX Guide FY26 consolidated unit net cash cost UNCHANGED guide ~$1.95/lb vs. cons $1.95/lb (FY26) MEDIUM
FCX Guide Grasberg operating-rate trajectory UNCHANGED guide ~65% of capacity vs. cons 65% of capacity (2H26) MEDIUM
FCX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
FCX Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest EPS/revenue beat plus maintained FY26 volume, cost, and Grasberg ramp assumptions should support upward revisions to out-period earnings and free-cash-flow estimates; the key is confirmation that the 2H26 ~65% Grasberg operating-rate plan remains intact. MEDIUM