FCX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FCX Report Copper Sales Volume (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~700 Mlbs vs. cons 691 Mlbs MEDIUM
FCX Report Unit Net Cash Cost (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.05/lb vs. cons $2.09/lb MEDIUM
FCX Report Adj. EPS Diluted Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.62 vs. cons $0.585 HIGH
FCX Guide FY 2026 Copper Vol Mlbs (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~3,100 vs. cons 3,093 HIGH
FCX Guide FY 2026 Unit Net Cash Cost $/lb (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$1.95 vs. cons $1.92 MEDIUM
FCX Guide Grasberg ramp qualitative (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm end-2027 full capacity; Q2 tpd data point provided MEDIUM
FCX Guide Leach initiative qualitative (FY 2026-2027) BETTER positive additive+heat combination update vs. no prior quantified consensus LOW
FCX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
FCX Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FADE) FADE — Archetype B historically fades; no true raise to drive estimate upgrades; elevated +11.4% pre-print excess run already consumed the beat; sell-side models off FY copper vol guide which is unchanged at 3,100 Mlbs MEDIUM