| GEV |
Report |
Total Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$11.1B vs. cons $10.8B |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Report |
Adjusted EBITDA |
BEAT |
pred ~$1.38B vs. cons $1.29B |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Report |
Adjusted EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.35 vs. cons $3.10 |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Guide |
FY2026 Revenue Guidance |
BETTER |
guide ~$45.5-46.5B (mid $46.0B) vs. cons $45.2B (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Guide |
FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin Guidance |
BETTER |
guide ~13-15% vs. cons ~13.2% (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Guide |
FY2026 Free Cash Flow Guidance |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$6.5-7.5B (reaffirmed) vs. cons $7.0B (FY2026) |
LOW |
| GEV |
Guide |
Gas Power Contracted Capacity (Year-end 2026 target) |
BETTER |
guide ~115 GW vs. prior/cons 110 GW (by YE2026) |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+4.5% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| GEV |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
+3.0% (STABILIZE) |
A likely beat-and-raise (orders, EBITDA margin, Gas Power contracted GW, data-center Electrification bookings) should trigger an initial pop similar in direction to Q1's 14% reaction, but magnitude is capped because Street numbers already price in ~17% Power/~50% Electrification organic growth and the stock is already up ~2x YoY at a rich multiple. With shares down ~8% from the late-June peak, some of the good news is pre-positioned, so analysts will raise near-term estimates but out-period (2027+) math (tougher comps, Wind losses only narrowing gradually, lumpy FCF/down-payment timing) tempers upward revisions, leading to an initial gain that mostly holds over the next few days rather than extending sharply or fully reversing. |
LOW |