GL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GL Report Net Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.75 vs. cons $3.695 MEDIUM
GL Report Health Underwriting Margin % (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~25.8% vs. cons 25.0% MEDIUM
GL Report Life Underwriting Margin % (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~41.5% vs. cons 41.2% HIGH
GL Guide Net Operating EPS (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$15.75 mid vs. cons $15.67 MEDIUM
GL Guide Health Underwriting Margin (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm 23%-27%; tone more confident vs. cons 24.7% HIGH
GL Guide American Income Agent Count (qualitative) UNKNOWN early positive signs from Q2 comp fix; H2 recovery on track LOW
GL Guide Bermuda Entity Update (qualitative) UNKNOWN reciprocal jurisdiction confirmed; 2027 cash flow detail provided LOW
GL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% MEDIUM
GL Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (FADE) FADE - modest sell-the-news on high run-up; small raise absorbed quickly; agent count uncertainty keeps a lid on re-rating MEDIUM