GM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GM Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.32 vs. cons $3.13 MEDIUM
GM Report Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$46.60B vs. cons $45.96B MEDIUM
GM Report GM North America adjusted EBIT margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~8.4% vs. cons 8.2% LOW
GM Guide Adjusted EBIT guidance LOWER guide ~$14.5B midpoint vs. cons $14.7B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GM Guide Adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$12.50 midpoint vs. cons $12.85 (FY2026) MEDIUM
GM Guide Adjusted automotive free cash flow guidance LOWER guide ~$10.0B midpoint vs. cons $10.18B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
GM Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.7% (FADE) A Q2 operating beat should drive the initial gain, but reiterated FY2026 guidance of ~$12.50 adjusted EPS versus consensus $12.85 implies the beat is absorbed by second-half commodity, tariff and launch costs; negative out-period estimate revisions should fade most of the day-1 move. MEDIUM