{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$3.32 vs. cons $3.13",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Revenue (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$46.60B vs. cons $45.96B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "GM North America adjusted EBIT margin (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~8.4% vs. cons 8.2%",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EBIT guidance",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~$14.5B midpoint vs. cons $14.7B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS guidance",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~$12.50 midpoint vs. cons $12.85 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted automotive free cash flow guidance",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~$10.0B midpoint vs. cons $10.18B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 2.2,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 0.7,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "A Q2 operating beat should drive the initial gain, but reiterated FY2026 guidance of ~$12.50 adjusted EPS versus consensus $12.85 implies the beat is absorbed by second-half commodity, tariff and launch costs; negative out-period estimate revisions should fade most of the day-1 move.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}