GPC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GPC Report 2Q26 adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.28 vs. cons $2.25 MEDIUM
GPC Report 2Q26 revenue IN-LINE pred ~$6.47B vs. cons $6.44B MEDIUM
GPC Report 2Q26 Global Industrial EBITDA margin BEAT pred ~13.8% vs. cons 13.5% MEDIUM
GPC Guide FY26 adjusted diluted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$7.75 midpoint vs. cons $7.79 (FY26) HIGH
GPC Guide FY26 total sales-growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~4.25% midpoint vs. cons 4.30% (FY26) HIGH
GPC Guide FY26 free-cash-flow guidance LOWER guide ~$625M midpoint vs. cons $650M (FY26) MEDIUM
GPC Guide Separation run-rate dis-synergy and stand-alone-cost commentary UNCHANGED guide ~$125M midpoint vs. cons $125M (1Q27 separation) HIGH
GPC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
GPC Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) Day-1 residual ~+1.5% versus a 5-day residual ~-0.5%: a modest EPS/Industrial-margin beat should initially help, but an unchanged FY26 EPS midpoint of ~$7.75 versus ~$7.79 consensus leaves out-period estimates vulnerable to modest reductions as analysts incorporate the 2Q freight/fuel drag and no guide lift. MEDIUM