| HAL |
Report |
Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) |
MISS |
pred ~$0.50 vs. cons $0.54 |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Report |
Total Revenue (Q2 2026) |
IN-LINE |
pred ~$5.45B vs. cons $5.50B |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Report |
Total company adjusted operating margin (Q2 2026) |
MISS |
pred ~14.4% vs. cons ~15.2% |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Guide |
Middle East Q2 EPS impact realized vs. guided |
LOWER |
actual ~-$0.10 to -$0.12 vs. guide -$0.07 to -$0.09 (Q2 2026); restart slipped adds -$0.03 to -$0.05 |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Guide |
Q3 2026 sequential EPS guide (implied) |
LOWER |
guide ~$0.52 vs. cons ~$0.58 (Q3 2026) |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Guide |
North America revenue / pricing traction |
UNKNOWN |
guide ~$2.15B (flat, no hard pricing proof) vs. cons ~$2.20B (Q3 2026) |
LOW |
| HAL |
Guide |
International ex-Middle East FY revenue growth |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~+7% (mid-to-high single digit) vs. cons ~+7% (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Guide |
Share buyback cadence |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$150M (Q2>Q1, H2>H1) vs. cons ~$150M (Q2 2026) |
LOW |
| HAL |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
-3.5% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| HAL |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-5.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) |
A Middle East-driven EPS/margin miss plus a below-consensus implied Q3 guide forces out-period estimate cuts; even with Brent back above $90 offering a sector tailwind, HAL-specific offshore restart risk and logistics/fuel cost inflation drive negative revisions that extend the day-1 drop rather than reverse it. Expectations were partly reset (stock down ~17% from the ~$42 peak), which caps but does not offset the downside. |
LOW |