HAS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HAS Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$1.085B vs. cons $1.060B MEDIUM
HAS Report Q2 2026 Wizards & Digital Gaming revenue BEAT pred ~$620M vs. cons $597M HIGH
HAS Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.25 vs. cons $1.13 MEDIUM
HAS Guide Adjusted EBITDA BETTER guide ~$1.475B vs. cons $1.450B (FY2026 midpoint) MEDIUM
HAS Guide Constant-currency revenue growth BETTER guide ~5.0% vs. cons 4.6% (FY2026 midpoint) MEDIUM
HAS Guide Wizards & Digital Gaming revenue growth BETTER guide ~8% vs. cons 7% (FY2026) MEDIUM
HAS Guide Consumer Products revenue growth BETTER guide ~12% vs. cons 11% (Q3 2026) LOW
HAS Guide Adjusted operating margin UNCHANGED guide ~24.5% vs. cons 24.5% (FY2026 midpoint) MEDIUM
HAS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.5% MEDIUM
HAS Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (FADE) A Wizards-led beat and FY2026 EBITDA midpoint of ~$1.475B vs. consensus $1.450B should drive the initial gain, but implied H2 EBITDA of roughly $0.80B vs. consensus near $0.82B signals that royalties, digital-game investment and Consumer Products costs limit out-period estimate revisions. MEDIUM