HCA Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-24

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HCA Report 2Q26 adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.62 vs. cons $7.47 HIGH
HCA Report 2Q26 revenue BEAT pred ~$20.23B vs. cons $19.43B HIGH
HCA Report 2Q26 adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$4.03B vs. cons $3.95B MEDIUM
HCA Guide FY26 adjusted diluted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$29.60 vs. cons $30.30 (FY26) HIGH
HCA Guide FY26 adjusted EBITDA guidance LOWER guide ~$15.75B vs. cons $15.95B (FY26) HIGH
HCA Guide FY26 revenue guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$78.25B vs. cons $78.20B (FY26) MEDIUM
HCA Guide FY26 health-insurance-exchange pre-tax headwind assumption LOWER guide ~($1.10B) vs. cons ~($1.00B) (FY26) MEDIUM
HCA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
HCA Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (FADE) Day-1 relief is likely if final 2Q26 results remain near the preannounced ~$7.62 EPS and ~$4.03B EBITDA, but FY26 EPS guidance of roughly $29.60 versus ~$30.30 consensus leaves out-period earnings math lower; continued exchange-headwind uncertainty and weak surgery mix should drive further estimate reductions. MEDIUM