HIG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HIG Report BI Underlying Combined Ratio (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~88.1% vs. cons 88.43% MEDIUM
HIG Report Group Benefits Core Earnings Margin (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~7.8% vs. cons 8.09% MEDIUM
HIG Report Net Investment Income (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$720M vs. cons $729M MEDIUM
HIG Guide FY 2026 Operating EPS (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$12.40 reaffirmed vs. cons $12.40; implied H2 math is a cut MEDIUM
HIG Guide FY 2026 NII (FY 2026) LOWER guide softened vs. cons $3.02B; LP headwinds acknowledged MEDIUM
HIG Guide Group Benefits Margin (FY 2026) LOWER guide toward lower end of 6-7% range vs. cons 7.53% MEDIUM
HIG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
HIG Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side cuts Q3/Q4 estimates as implied H2 math forces revisions lower; EB and NII misses pull FY consensus from $12.40 toward $12.10-12.20 MEDIUM