HON Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HON Report Q2 adj. EPS (automation, split-adj., cont. ops) BEAT pred ~$1.95 vs. cons ~$1.85 MEDIUM
HON Report Q2 organic sales growth IN-LINE pred ~+3% vs. cons ~+3% MEDIUM
HON Report Q2 segment margin IN-LINE pred ~22.4% vs. cons ~22.3% MEDIUM
HON Guide FY26 standalone adj. EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$7.90-8.30 (mid $8.10) vs. cons ~$8.10 (FY2026) MEDIUM
HON Guide 2H26 adj. EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$4.40-4.70 (mid $4.55) vs. cons ~$4.55 (2H2026) MEDIUM
HON Guide Building Automation organic growth / orders BETTER guide ~+7-8% vs. cons ~+6% (Q2/2H2026) MEDIUM
HON Guide Process Automation & Tech 2H inflection (backlog conversion) UNKNOWN guide ~+HSD (~+7%) vs. cons skeptical ~+4% (2H2026) LOW
HON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
HON Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) Debut standalone quarter likely delivers a modest EPS beat on Building Automation strength plus buyback, driving a small day-1 pop. But the July 8 'raise' was purely the 1-for-2 reverse-split adjustment (exactly 2x old ranges), so there is no true operational upgrade to lift out-period estimates. FY/2H guide is only reaffirmed, and the whole 2H story rests on a PA&T hockey-stick against a re-escalating Middle East/oil backdrop, so investors discount the ramp. With the stock already up ~6% into the print (220→233), positioning is stretched and the risk skews to sell-the-news; out-period math (implicit soft Q2, no estimate raise) pulls gains back over the week. LOW