HON Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HON Report Q2 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.81 vs. cons $1.77 MEDIUM
HON Report Q2 segment sales IN-LINE pred ~$5.03B vs. cons $5.03B MEDIUM
HON Report Q2 segment margin IN-LINE pred ~18.1% vs. cons 18.0% LOW
HON Guide Second-half organic sales growth UNCHANGED guide ~4.0% vs. cons 4.0% (2H 2026) HIGH
HON Guide Second-half segment margin UNCHANGED guide ~21.25% vs. cons 21.25% (2H 2026) HIGH
HON Guide Adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$8.10 vs. cons $8.15 (FY 2026) MEDIUM
HON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.2% MEDIUM
HON Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.1% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest Q2 EPS beat is unlikely to offset back-end-loading concerns: FY 2026 adjusted EPS guide midpoint of ~$8.10 vs. consensus $8.15 and 2H segment margin guide of ~21.25% vs. consensus 21.25% leave little estimate upside. With the shares entering the print at a premium valuation, unchanged guidance should prompt small downward revisions and negative follow-through. MEDIUM