HON Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
HON Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.86 vs. cons $1.82 MEDIUM
HON Report Organic sales growth IN-LINE pred ~3.0% vs. cons 2.5% MEDIUM
HON Report Segment margin IN-LINE pred ~19.2% vs. cons 19.1% MEDIUM
HON Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$8.10 vs. cons $8.10 (FY2026) HIGH
HON Guide FY2026 organic sales growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.5% vs. cons 2.5% (FY2026) HIGH
HON Guide FY2026 segment-margin expansion UNCHANGED guide ~245 bps vs. cons 245 bps (FY2026) HIGH
HON Guide FY2026 free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$2.00B vs. cons $2.00B (FY2026) MEDIUM
HON Guide 2H2026 organic sales growth UNCHANGED guide ~4.0% vs. cons 4.0% (2H2026) MEDIUM
HON Guide 2H2026 adjusted EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$4.55 vs. cons $4.55 (2H2026) MEDIUM
HON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
HON Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A modest ~$0.04 EPS beat and stable ~3.0% organic growth should initially reward execution, but unchanged FY EPS (~$8.10) and 2H EPS (~$4.55) leave out-period estimates broadly intact; the cash and PA&T conversion burden remains concentrated in 2H. MEDIUM