IBM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
IBM Report Total revenue MISS pred $17.20B vs. cons $17.48B HIGH
IBM Report Operating diluted EPS IN-LINE pred $2.93 vs. cons $2.92 HIGH
IBM Report Constant-currency revenue growth MISS pred 1.0% vs. cons 3.25% HIGH
IBM Guide FY26 constant-currency revenue growth UNKNOWN guide UNVERIFIED vs. cons 4.48% LOW
IBM Guide FY26 FCF UNKNOWN guide UNVERIFIED vs. cons $15.85B LOW
IBM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% LOW
IBM Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — formal FY reset would drive out-period estimate cuts LOW