| INTC |
Report |
Q2'26 Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$15.0B vs. cons ~$14.6B |
MEDIUM |
| INTC |
Report |
Q2'26 Non-GAAP EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$0.31 vs. cons ~$0.25 |
MEDIUM |
| INTC |
Report |
Q2'26 Non-GAAP Gross Margin |
IN-LINE |
pred ~39.5% vs. cons ~39.5% |
MEDIUM |
| INTC |
Guide |
Q3'26 Revenue guide |
BETTER |
guide ~$15.5B vs. cons ~$15.0B (Q3'26) |
MEDIUM |
| INTC |
Guide |
Q3'26 Non-GAAP Gross Margin guide (18A dilution + memory/substrate cost inflation) |
LOWER |
guide ~38% vs. cons ~40.5% (Q3'26) |
MEDIUM |
| INTC |
Guide |
DCAI (Data Center) revenue outlook |
BETTER |
guide ~$6.0B (up dbl-digit QoQ) vs. cons ~$5.7B (Q3'26) |
LOW |
| INTC |
Guide |
Intel Foundry external traction / 14A + Apple/Fortinet |
UNKNOWN |
ext. foundry rev ~$0.2B vs. cons ~$0.3B; op loss ~-$2.3B vs. cons ~-$2.1B (Q2'26) |
LOW |
| INTC |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
-6.0% |
— |
LOW |
| INTC |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-9.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) |
Stock has ~4x'd since March on the govt-stake/foundry-story re-rating and sits at a stretched ~$450B cap (beta ~3.7, 5.8% daily vol), so a routine 7th-straight beat is fully priced. The swing factor is the 2H margin path: a Q3 non-GAAP GM guide cut on 18A mix dilution and memory/substrate cost inflation forces analysts to trim out-period EPS even after a top-line beat. That negative revision math, layered on a 'buy-the-rumor (Apple/Fortinet foundry), sell-the-news' setup 27% off the June peak, drives a negative day-1 residual that follows through over the week as estimates reset lower; only a concrete large 14A/Apple design-win commitment would flip it to stabilize. |
LOW |