INTC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
INTC Report Q2 revenue BEAT pred ~$14.75B vs. cons $14.40B MEDIUM
INTC Report Q2 non-GAAP gross margin BEAT pred ~39.8% vs. cons 39.0% MEDIUM
INTC Report Q2 DCAI revenue BEAT pred ~$5.75B vs. cons $5.60B MEDIUM
INTC Guide Q3 revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$15.05B vs. cons $14.90B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
INTC Guide Q3 non-GAAP gross-margin guidance LOWER guide ~39.5% vs. cons 40.0% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
INTC Guide Q3 non-GAAP EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$0.24 vs. cons $0.27 (Q3 2026) LOW
INTC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% LOW
INTC Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Q2 beats of roughly $0.35B in revenue and 80 bps in gross margin are outweighed by Q3 EPS guidance near $0.24 versus $0.27 consensus and gross margin near 39.5% versus 40.0%; those implicit out-period cuts should pull estimates lower after the initial reaction. MEDIUM