INTC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
INTC Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$14.60B vs. cons $14.40B MEDIUM
INTC Report Non-GAAP gross margin MISS pred ~38.50% vs. cons 39.50% MEDIUM
INTC Report DCAI revenue BEAT pred ~$5.70B vs. cons $5.60B MEDIUM
INTC Guide Q3 revenue LOWER guide ~$14.70B vs. cons $15.10B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
INTC Guide Q3 non-GAAP gross margin LOWER guide ~38.50% vs. cons 40.00% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
INTC Guide Q3 non-GAAP EPS LOWER guide ~$0.19 vs. cons $0.29 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
INTC Guide Full-year adjusted free cash flow UNCHANGED guide ~$0.10B vs. cons $0.10B (FY 2026) LOW
INTC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -8.5% MEDIUM
INTC Return 5-day cumulative residual -12.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest revenue/DCAI beat is likely outweighed by a gross-margin miss and lower Q3 revenue, margin, and EPS math; the implied H2 earnings reset should drive further downward revisions after the initial reaction. MEDIUM