KMI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
KMI Report Adjusted EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.08B vs. cons $2.05B MEDIUM
KMI Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.33 vs. cons $0.32 MEDIUM
KMI Report Natural Gas Pipelines segment EBDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.46B vs. cons $1.43B MEDIUM
KMI Guide Adjusted EBITDA guidance LOWER guide ~$8.90B vs. cons $8.92B (FY2026) MEDIUM
KMI Guide Adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$1.39 vs. cons $1.40 (FY2026) LOW
KMI Guide Year-end net debt/adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~3.7x vs. cons 3.7x (year-end 2026) HIGH
KMI Guide Project backlog BETTER guide/commentary ~$10.4B vs. prior $10.1B (Q2 2026 exit) MEDIUM
KMI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.3% MEDIUM
KMI Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.1% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Quarterly beats are likely offset by an implicit out-period cut: holding FY2026 adjusted EBITDA near ~$8.90B versus consensus ~$8.92B after a ~$30M Q2 beat lowers implied H2 estimates, driving modest negative revisions and follow-through. MEDIUM