LMT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LMT Report Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.30 vs. cons $7.15 MEDIUM
LMT Report Q2 2026 Net Sales IN-LINE pred ~$19.40B vs. cons $19.28B MEDIUM
LMT Report Q2 2026 Free Cash Flow MISS pred ~$150M vs. cons ~$450M LOW
LMT Guide FY2026 Diluted EPS Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$29.80 (midpoint of $29.35-$30.25) vs. cons ~$29.85 (FY2026) MEDIUM
LMT Guide FY2026 Net Sales Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$78.75B (midpoint of $77.5-80.0B) vs. cons ~$78.9B (FY2026) MEDIUM
LMT Guide FY2026 Free Cash Flow Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$6.65B (midpoint of $6.5-6.8B) vs. cons ~$6.6B (FY2026) LOW
LMT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
LMT Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.5% (FADE) An EPS beat driven by absence of new classified-program charges plus reaffirmed FY26 guidance likely sparks a relief rally on day 1 given how depressed sentiment/positioning was going in. But FCF remains soft (still below the pace needed to hit the $6.5-6.8B FY target given a negative Q1 and only modest Q2 recovery), and the FY guide implies a very back-half-loaded ramp in both margins and cash generation. As sell-side models the out-quarters, analysts are likely to trim near-term FCF/margin estimates even after a headline EPS beat, since the 'growing pains' (F-16, C-130, Sikorsky, ERP drag) aren't fully resolved — causing the initial pop to partially fade over the following days as the quality of the beat is scrutinized. LOW