LMT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LMT Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$19.42B vs. cons $19.28B MEDIUM
LMT Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.32 vs. cons $7.15 MEDIUM
LMT Report Free cash flow MISS pred ~$0.35B vs. cons $0.80B LOW
LMT Guide FY2026 sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$78.75B vs. cons $78.80B (FY2026) HIGH
LMT Guide FY2026 diluted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$29.80 vs. cons $30.00 (FY2026) MEDIUM
LMT Guide FY2026 free-cash-flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$6.65B vs. cons $6.65B (FY2026) MEDIUM
LMT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
LMT Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (STABILIZE) A ~$0.17 EPS beat versus $7.15 and ~$0.14B revenue beat versus $19.28B should be outweighed initially by a ~$0.45B quarterly FCF shortfall versus $0.80B and an unchanged ~$6.65B FY2026 FCF guide versus $6.65B consensus. With FY2026 sales guide near $78.75B versus $78.80B consensus and EPS guide near $29.80 versus $30.00, out-period estimate cuts should be limited; the initial cash-conversion disappointment is therefore more likely to stabilize than drive a continuing revision-led selloff. MEDIUM