LUV Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LUV Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.60 vs. cons $0.55 MEDIUM
LUV Report RASM growth BEAT pred ~18.0% vs. cons 17.5% MEDIUM
LUV Report CASM-X growth IN-LINE pred ~3.6% vs. cons 3.7% MEDIUM
LUV Guide 3Q26 RASM growth BETTER guide ~12.5% vs. cons 11.5% (3Q26) MEDIUM
LUV Guide 3Q26 CASM-X growth BETTER guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.8% (3Q26) MEDIUM
LUV Guide FY26 adjusted EPS objective UNCHANGED guide ~$4.00 vs. cons $3.85 (FY26) MEDIUM
LUV Guide FY26 capacity growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.0% vs. cons 2.0% (FY26) HIGH
LUV Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.5% MEDIUM
LUV Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A revenue-led EPS beat, 3Q26 RASM guide of ~12.5% versus ~11.5% consensus, and maintenance of the ~$4.00 FY26 objective versus ~$3.85 consensus should drive upward out-period estimates rather than leave the beat offset by implicit cuts. MEDIUM