LUV Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
LUV Report EPS – Diluted Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.58 vs. cons $0.52 MEDIUM
LUV Report RASM cents/ASM – Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~17.30c vs. cons 16.87c MEDIUM
LUV Report Fuel Cost/Gallon – Economic (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3.95 vs. cons $4.12 MEDIUM
LUV Guide RASM % YoY (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~+12-14% vs. cons ~+10% MEDIUM
LUV Guide EPS range (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~$0.60-$1.00 vs. cons ~$0.55 LOW
LUV Guide FY 2026 EPS floor BETTER at least $4.00 maintained vs. cons $3.15 HIGH
LUV Guide Qualitative demand/bookings (Q3 2026) BETTER strong exit rates, corporate records, no elasticity HIGH
LUV Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% MEDIUM
LUV Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.0% (FADE) FADE — sell-side models update Q2 actuals but FY maintained means no estimate lift; implicit cut pulls estimates lower over 5 days MEDIUM