MCO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MCO Report Q2 adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$4.34 vs. cons $4.23 MEDIUM
MCO Report Q2 MIS revenue BEAT pred ~$1.22B vs. cons $1.20B MEDIUM
MCO Report Q2 MA ARR growth IN-LINE pred ~8.0% vs. cons 8.0% MEDIUM
MCO Guide Adjusted diluted EPS BETTER guide ~$16.85 midpoint vs. cons $16.71 (FY2026) MEDIUM
MCO Guide MIS revenue growth BETTER guide ~9.5% vs. cons 9.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
MCO Guide MA ARR growth UNCHANGED guide ~8.0% vs. cons 8.0% (FY2026) HIGH
MCO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.1% MEDIUM
MCO Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.2% (STABILIZE) A FY2026 EPS guide midpoint of ~$16.85 vs. $16.71 consensus would be positive, but after predicted H1 EPS of ~$8.67 vs. ~$8.56 embedded in consensus, implied H2 EPS is only ~$8.18 vs. ~$8.15, limiting follow-through after the initial beat. MEDIUM