MCO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MCO Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$4.31 vs. cons $4.23 MEDIUM
MCO Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$2.12B vs. cons $2.09B MEDIUM
MCO Report Moody's Investors Service (MIS) revenue BEAT pred ~$1.17B vs. cons $1.15B MEDIUM
MCO Guide FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$16.40-$17.00 vs. cons $16.71 (FY2026) HIGH
MCO Guide FY2026 MIS revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~8% vs. cons 8% (FY2026) MEDIUM
MCO Guide FY2026 MA ARR growth UNCHANGED guide ~8% vs. cons 8% (FY2026) MEDIUM
MCO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
MCO Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) A ~$4.31 EPS print versus $4.23 and ~$2.12B revenue versus $2.09B should initially reward solid issuance conversion, but an unchanged ~$16.40-$17.00 FY EPS framework versus $16.71 consensus limits out-period estimate revisions; the initial ~+1.8% residual is likely to fade toward ~+0.8% by day five. MEDIUM