{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$4.31 vs. cons $4.23",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Total revenue",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$2.12B vs. cons $2.09B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Moody's Investors Service (MIS) revenue",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.17B vs. cons $1.15B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$16.40-$17.00 vs. cons $16.71 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 MIS revenue growth",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~8% vs. cons 8% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 MA ARR growth",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~8% vs. cons 8% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 1.8,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 0.8,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "A ~$4.31 EPS print versus $4.23 and ~$2.12B revenue versus $2.09B should initially reward solid issuance conversion, but an unchanged ~$16.40-$17.00 FY EPS framework versus $16.71 consensus limits out-period estimate revisions; the initial ~+1.8% residual is likely to fade toward ~+0.8% by day five.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}