MCO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MCO Report MIS Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,225M vs. cons $1,201M MEDIUM
MCO Report Adj. EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$4.35 vs. cons $4.248 MEDIUM
MCO Report MA ARR (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$3,630M vs. cons $3,592M MEDIUM
MCO Guide Adj. EPS FY2026 (full year) BETTER guide ~$16.80-$17.40 vs. cons $16.784 MEDIUM
MCO Guide MIS Revenue FY2026 (full year) UNCHANGED guide maintain high-single-digit range vs. cons $4,661M HIGH
MCO Guide MA ARR FY2026 (full year) UNCHANGED guide maintain high-single-digit growth vs. cons $3,811M HIGH
MCO Guide Issuance tone / H2 visibility (qualitative) BETTER more confident on H2 issuance; constructive market commentary MEDIUM
MCO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
MCO Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — FY raise absorbs Q2 beat; H2 estimates move modestly higher; no large follow-through but no fade MEDIUM