MMM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MMM Report Q2 Adjusted Organic Sales Growth BEAT pred ~3.4% vs. cons 3.15% MEDIUM
MMM Report Q2 Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.29 vs. cons $2.24 MEDIUM
MMM Report Q2 Adjusted Operating Margin IN-LINE pred ~24.5% vs. cons 24.65% MEDIUM
MMM Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance BETTER guide ~$8.60-$8.90 (mid ~$8.75) vs. cons ~$8.60 (FY2026) MEDIUM
MMM Guide FY2026 Organic Sales Growth Guidance BETTER guide ~3.0-3.5% (mid ~3.2%) vs. cons ~3.0% (FY2026) LOW
MMM Guide H2 2026 Organic Growth Cadence Commentary BETTER guide ~3.5% vs. cons ~3.3% (H2 2026) LOW
MMM Guide EPS Contingency Removal ($0.05-$0.15) BETTER guide ~$0.00 residual contingency vs. cons ~$0.10 embedded (FY2026) MEDIUM
MMM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
MMM Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) Beat-and-raise on growth/EPS plus a raised or narrowed EPS contingency should trigger an initial pop, but the stock has already rallied hard off the May low pricing in much of the 'acceleration' narrative, margin came in only in-line (with oil/tariff cost offset uncertainty persisting into H2) and the pre-buy-vs-organic-demand debate around Q1's order surge won't be fully resolved by one print. Sell-side will likely trim out-period margin/EPS assumptions modestly even after nudging FY26 EPS higher, capping follow-through and causing partial fade of the day-1 pop over the next week. LOW