MMM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MMM Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.29 vs. cons $2.24 MEDIUM
MMM Report Q2 2026 adjusted organic sales growth BEAT pred ~3.4% vs. cons 3.15% MEDIUM
MMM Report Q2 2026 adjusted operating margin IN-LINE pred ~24.8% vs. cons 24.65% MEDIUM
MMM Guide Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$8.70 midpoint vs. cons $8.70 (FY2026) MEDIUM
MMM Guide Adjusted organic sales growth guidance LOWER guide ~3.0% vs. cons 3.1% (FY2026) MEDIUM
MMM Guide Adjusted operating-margin expansion guidance BETTER guide ~85 bps midpoint vs. cons 80 bps (FY2026) LOW
MMM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
MMM Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) The predicted Q2 EPS beat of ~$0.05 ($2.29 vs. $2.24) is absorbed by FY2026 guidance of ~$8.70 vs. consensus $8.70, implying second-half EPS of ~$4.27 vs. the pre-report implied ~$4.32. That ~$0.05 out-period cut should limit revisions and cause the initial organic-growth and margin relief rally to fade. MEDIUM