MMM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MMM Report Organic Growth (adj., Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~3.5% vs. cons 3.22% (Visible Alpha, Jul 18, 2026) HIGH
MMM Report Adj. EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.28 vs. cons $2.25 (Visible Alpha, Jul 18, 2026) MEDIUM
MMM Report Operating Margin adj. (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~24.6% vs. cons 24.56% (Visible Alpha, Jul 18, 2026) HIGH
MMM Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$8.65-$8.85 (mid $8.75) vs. cons $8.75 (Visible Alpha, Jul 18, 2026) MEDIUM
MMM Guide FY 2026 Organic Growth (FY 2026) BETTER guide 'above 3%' or '~3-3.5%' vs. cons 2.97% (Visible Alpha, Jul 18, 2026) HIGH
MMM Guide Q3 2026 Organic Trajectory (qualitative) BETTER continued acceleration, SIBG 3.5-4%, TEBG accelerating on data center/EBO ramp vs. cons ~3.5% implied MEDIUM
MMM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.0% MEDIUM
MMM Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — Archetype A 5-day pattern shows follow-through in comparable quarters (+5.5% to +6.2%), but FY raise is likely raise-to-consensus rather than raise-above, limiting estimate revision momentum. Stabilize near Day-1 level. MEDIUM