NDAQ Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NDAQ Report Non-GAAP diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.00 vs. cons $0.97 MEDIUM
NDAQ Report Net revenue BEAT pred ~$1.46B vs. cons $1.43B MEDIUM
NDAQ Report Financial Technology revenue BEAT pred ~$548M vs. cons $538M MEDIUM
NDAQ Guide FY26 non-GAAP operating-expense guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.515B midpoint vs. cons $2.515B midpoint (FY26) HIGH
NDAQ Guide FY26 non-GAAP tax-rate guidance UNCHANGED guide ~23.5% midpoint vs. cons 23.5% (FY26) HIGH
NDAQ Guide Financial Technology organic growth commentary BETTER guide ~16% organic growth vs. cons 15% (2H26) MEDIUM
NDAQ Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
NDAQ Return 5-day cumulative residual +5.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Day-1 residual ~3.5% vs. a modeled 0.0% benchmark; 5-day residual ~5.5% vs. the same 0.0% benchmark. A revenue/EPS beat led by Financial Technology, plus sustained mid-teens organic-growth commentary and unchanged FY26 expense guidance, should lift 2026-27 revenue and EPS estimates rather than create a one-quarter, market-services-driven beat. MEDIUM