NEE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-24

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NEE Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.10 vs. cons $1.08 MEDIUM
NEE Report FPL adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.67 vs. cons $0.66 MEDIUM
NEE Report Energy Resources backlog additions MISS pred ~2.8 GW vs. cons 3.0 GW LOW
NEE Guide Adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$4.02 vs. cons $4.01 (FY2026) HIGH
NEE Guide Adjusted EPS implied outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$4.36 vs. cons $4.36 (FY2027) MEDIUM
NEE Guide FPL capital expenditures UNCHANGED guide ~$12.5B vs. cons $12.5B (FY2026) HIGH
NEE Guide U.S.-Japan gas-project capacity UNKNOWN guide ~9.5 GW vs. cons 9.5 GW (definitive-agreement target by 2026Q3) LOW
NEE Guide Post-merger adjusted EPS CAGR UNCHANGED guide ~9.0% vs. cons 9.0% (2026-2032) MEDIUM
NEE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.8% LOW
NEE Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.3% (FADE) Predicted five-day residual of +0.3% versus day-one residual of +0.8%: a modest EPS beat is unlikely to drive durable revisions because FY2026 guidance of ~$4.02 versus consensus $4.01 and FY2027 implied EPS of ~$4.36 versus consensus $4.36 leave little out-period upside, while softer backlog additions and uncertain U.S.-Japan agreement timing limit follow-through. LOW