NEM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NEM Report Operating diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.97 vs. cons $1.94 MEDIUM
NEM Report Attributable gold production IN-LINE pred ~1.250Moz vs. cons 1.257Moz MEDIUM
NEM Report Free cash flow BEAT pred ~$1.87B vs. cons $1.84B MEDIUM
NEM Guide FY26 attributable gold production (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~5.260Moz ±5% vs. cons 5.274Moz HIGH
NEM Guide FY26 by-product AISC (FY26) UNKNOWN guide ~$1,680/oz ±5% vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
NEM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
NEM Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) FADE — FY maintenance leaves forward estimates vulnerable MEDIUM