NOC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NOC Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$10.93B vs. cons $10.80B MEDIUM
NOC Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$7.01 vs. cons $6.83 MEDIUM
NOC Report Free cash flow BEAT pred ~($0.30B) vs. cons ~($0.45B) LOW
NOC Guide FY2026 sales guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$43.75B vs. cons $43.80B (FY2026) HIGH
NOC Guide FY2026 MTM-adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$27.65 vs. cons $27.70 (FY2026) HIGH
NOC Guide FY2026 free-cash-flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$3.30B vs. cons $3.30B (FY2026) MEDIUM
NOC Guide B-21 and Space program-charge commentary UNCHANGED guide ~$0M incremental EAC charge vs. cons ~$0M (FY2026) MEDIUM
NOC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.1% MEDIUM
NOC Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) A modest revenue/EPS beat and clean program execution should produce an initially positive reaction, but unchanged FY2026 sales, EPS, and FCF guideposts imply limited upward out-period estimate revision; the day-1 move should partially fade as investors refocus on B-21 investment, back-end-loaded cash conversion, and unchanged full-year math. MEDIUM