NSC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NSC Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.36 vs. cons $3.30 MEDIUM
NSC Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$3.20B vs. cons $3.15B MEDIUM
NSC Report Adjusted operating ratio IN-LINE pred ~66.6% vs. cons 66.7% MEDIUM
NSC Guide FY2026 adjusted operating-cost guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$8.30B vs. cons $8.30B (FY2026) HIGH
NSC Guide FY2026 structural productivity savings UNCHANGED guide ~$150M vs. cons $150M (FY2026) MEDIUM
NSC Guide Merger-related competitive revenue headwind UNCHANGED guide ~1.0% of revenue vs. cons 1.0% of revenue (FY2026) MEDIUM
NSC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
NSC Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (STABILIZE) A modest EPS and revenue beat, with OR essentially in line, should support an initial positive reaction; however, unchanged ~$8.30B FY2026 costs and ~$150M productivity guidance imply limited upward out-period estimate revision after fuel, merger-related leakage, and second-half demand risks are retained. MEDIUM