NTRS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NTRS Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.76 vs. cons $2.68 MEDIUM
NTRS Report Trust, investment and other servicing fees (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.374B vs. cons $1.345B MEDIUM
NTRS Report FTE net interest income (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$656M vs. cons $648.7M MEDIUM
NTRS Guide FTE net interest income growth UNCHANGED guide ~7.0% vs. cons 7.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
NTRS Guide Positive operating leverage LOWER guide ~100 bps vs. cons 300 bps (FY2026) LOW
NTRS Guide Noninterest expense BETTER guide ~$1.49B vs. cons $1.50B (Q3 2026) LOW
NTRS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
NTRS Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A modest core beat should lift the stock initially, but unchanged NII guidance and an operating-leverage floor below modeled expectations limit out-period revisions; Q3-Q4 EPS estimates rise only slightly, causing most of the day-1 residual gain to fade. MEDIUM