NTRS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
NTRS Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.82 vs cons $2.70 MEDIUM
NTRS Report Net Interest Income (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$668M vs cons $652.8M MEDIUM
NTRS Report Trust & Servicing Fees (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,370M vs cons $1,351.4M MEDIUM
NTRS Guide FY 2026 NII growth (FY26) BETTER guide ~'high single digits' vs cons $2,641.7M MEDIUM
NTRS Guide FY 2026 Operating Leverage (FY26) BETTER guide ~'>300bps' vs prior '>100bps' floor MEDIUM
NTRS Guide FY 2026 Expense trajectory (FY26) UNCHANGED reaffirm 'direction down for remainder of year' HIGH
NTRS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.0% MEDIUM
NTRS Return 5-day cumulative residual +7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side revises Q3/Q4 NII estimates up on FY raise; guide math is coherent and implies H2 run rate of ~$659M/quarter vs $616M in prior year H2 MEDIUM