OTIS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
OTIS Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.03 vs. cons $1.01 MEDIUM
OTIS Report Service operating margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~24.0% vs. cons 24.0% MEDIUM
OTIS Report Organic sales growth (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~+2.5% vs. cons +2.0% LOW
OTIS Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$4.20-4.24 vs. cons $4.22 (FY2026) MEDIUM
OTIS Guide FY2026 Adjusted operating profit guide UNCHANGED guide ~$2.5B vs. cons $2.5B (FY2026) LOW
OTIS Guide FY2026 Adjusted free cash flow guide UNCHANGED guide ~$1.6-1.65B vs. cons $1.63B (FY2026) LOW
OTIS Guide Modernization backlog growth BETTER guide ~+30% cc vs. cons ~+25% (Q2 2026 backlog) MEDIUM
OTIS Guide H2 Service margin recovery (FY high-24s) UNKNOWN guide ~24.7% vs. cons 24.5% (FY2026 Service margin) LOW
OTIS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% LOW
OTIS Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) Low bar plus cautious positioning favors a modest relief pop on an in-line-to-slight-beat quarter with reaffirmed guide. But the Q2 down quarter is already baked and the story is H2-weighted, so an in-line print does not trigger upward estimate revisions; out-period math keeps FY numbers roughly unchanged. Relief holds but follow-through is capped by 'show-me' skepticism on the Service-margin hockey stick and China/data-center overhang, hence stabilize rather than sustained follow-through. LOW