PHM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PHM Report EPS BEAT pred ~$2.43 vs. cons $2.36 MEDIUM
PHM Report Home-sale gross margin BEAT pred ~24.6% vs. cons 24.3% MEDIUM
PHM Report Net new orders MISS pred ~7,240 vs. cons 7,383 MEDIUM
PHM Guide Q3 deliveries LOWER guide ~7,650 vs. cons 7,800 (2026Q3) MEDIUM
PHM Guide Q3 home-sale gross margin UNCHANGED guide ~24.7% vs. cons 24.8% (2026Q3) MEDIUM
PHM Guide Full-year deliveries UNCHANGED guide ~28,750 vs. cons 28,720 (FY2026) MEDIUM
PHM Guide Full-year home-sale gross margin UNCHANGED guide ~24.6% vs. cons 24.7% (FY2026) MEDIUM
PHM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.4% MEDIUM
PHM Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) Relief from maintaining FY2026 deliveries near ~28,750 vs. consensus 28,720 supports day 1, but a Q3 delivery midpoint near ~7,650 vs. consensus 7,800 and softer orders limit upward estimate revisions, causing part of the initial gain to fade. MEDIUM