PKG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PKG Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.38 vs. cons $2.33 MEDIUM
PKG Report Net sales BEAT pred ~$2.48B vs. cons $2.45B MEDIUM
PKG Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$503M vs. cons $495M MEDIUM
PKG Guide 3Q26 adjusted EPS outlook LOWER guide ~$2.76 vs. cons $2.83 (3Q26) MEDIUM
PKG Guide 3Q26 net containerboard-price realization LOWER guide ~$43/ton vs. cons $50/ton (3Q26) MEDIUM
PKG Guide 2026 capital expenditures UNCHANGED guide ~$855M vs. cons $855M (FY26) HIGH
PKG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.8% MEDIUM
PKG Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$2.38 EPS beat versus $2.33 consensus is outweighed by a ~$2.76 3Q outlook versus $2.83 consensus: less-than-full $50/ton price realization and persistent cost pressure imply out-period estimate cuts. MEDIUM