PM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PM Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.10 vs. cons $2.07 MEDIUM
PM Report Organic net-revenue growth BEAT pred ~5.4% vs. cons 5.0% MEDIUM
PM Report HTU shipment volume IN-LINE pred ~41.0 billion units vs. cons 41.0 billion units MEDIUM
PM Guide FY26 reported adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$8.44-$8.59 vs. cons $8.52 (FY26) MEDIUM
PM Guide FY26 organic net-revenue growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~5%-7% vs. cons 6.0% (FY26) HIGH
PM Guide U.S. ZYN offtake / second-half acceleration commentary LOWER guide ~6% U.S. ZYN offtake growth vs. cons 8% (2H26) LOW
PM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
PM Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$2.10 EPS beat versus $2.07 consensus is likely offset by unchanged ~$8.44-$8.59 FY26 EPS guidance versus $8.52 consensus and softer ~6% ZYN growth versus 8% expected, prompting modest out-period estimate cuts and a continued negative revision cycle. MEDIUM