PM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PM Report ZYN U.S. Can Volume (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~200M vs. cons 221M MEDIUM
PM Report HTU Shipment Volume (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~41.5B vs. cons 41.3B HIGH
PM Report Adj. Diluted EPS (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$2.04 vs. cons $2.04 MEDIUM
PM Guide Adj. EPS Q3 2026 (Q3 2026) LOWER guide ~$2.35 vs. cons ~$2.41 MEDIUM
PM Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide $8.31-$8.46 reaffirmed vs. cons $8.38 HIGH
PM Guide ZYN H2 Qualitative (H2 2026) UNCHANGED H2 improvement signaled, ZYN Ultra on track MEDIUM
PM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.0% MEDIUM
PM Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH - ZYN miss pulls Q3 volume estimates lower; sell-side trims ZYN FY targets; no near-term catalyst to reverse MEDIUM