RJF Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RJF Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.02 vs. cons $2.91 MEDIUM
RJF Report Investment-banking revenue BEAT pred ~$248M vs. cons $231M MEDIUM
RJF Report Asset-management and related administrative fees BEAT pred ~$2.08B vs. cons $2.05B MEDIUM
RJF Guide Asset-management and related administrative fee growth BETTER guide ~3.0% q/q vs. cons 2.0% q/q (fiscal 4Q26) MEDIUM
RJF Guide Combined net interest income and RJBDP third-party fee growth LOWER guide ~0.0% q/q vs. cons 1.0% q/q (fiscal 4Q26) MEDIUM
RJF Guide Adjusted pretax margin UNCHANGED guide ~20.0% vs. cons 20.1% (next 12 months) HIGH
RJF Guide Investment-banking revenue growth LOWER guide ~5% vs. cons 7% (next 12 months) MEDIUM
RJF Guide Quarterly share repurchases UNCHANGED guide ~$450M vs. cons $450M (fiscal 4Q26) HIGH
RJF Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.4% MEDIUM
RJF Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.1% (FADE) A projected adjusted-EPS beat of ~$0.11 versus consensus is partly offset by fiscal-4Q26 NII growth guidance of ~0% versus 1% consensus and next-12-month investment-banking growth of ~5% versus 7% consensus, limiting out-period estimate revisions after the initial positive reaction. MEDIUM