RJF Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RJF Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.93 vs. cons $2.84 MEDIUM
RJF Report Net revenues BEAT pred ~$3.99B vs. cons $3.94B MEDIUM
RJF Report Capital Markets net revenues BEAT pred ~$510M vs. cons $495M MEDIUM
RJF Guide Asset-management and related administrative-fee outlook BETTER guide ~2% sequential growth vs. cons 1% (fiscal 4Q26) MEDIUM
RJF Guide Combined net interest income plus third-party-bank sweep-fee outlook UNCHANGED guide ~1% sequential growth vs. cons 1% (fiscal 4Q26) MEDIUM
RJF Guide Adjusted pre-tax-margin framework UNCHANGED guide ~20.0% vs. cons 20.0% (fiscal 2026) MEDIUM
RJF Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
RJF Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~$0.09 EPS beat versus $2.84 consensus, led by roughly $15M of Capital Markets revenue upside versus $495M consensus and a better ~2% versus 1% fiscal-4Q fee-growth guide, should lift fiscal-4Q and FY27 estimates despite an unchanged ~20.0% margin framework. MEDIUM