RJF Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RJF Report Operating EPS BEAT pred ~$2.95 vs. cons $2.89 MEDIUM
RJF Report Net revenue BEAT pred ~$3.93B vs. cons $3.875B MEDIUM
RJF Report PCG net new assets BEAT pred ~$22.0B vs. cons $19.47B MEDIUM
RJF Guide Asset-management fees (3Q FY26) BETTER prior guide +~1% QoQ; expected achieve/exceed; report-period cons $2.060B MEDIUM
RJF Guide NII + RJBDP fees (3Q FY26) UNKNOWN prior guide +~1% QoQ; no like-for-like consensus LOW
RJF Guide FY26 non-compensation expense UNCHANGED prior guide ~$2.3B under company-adjusted definition; no like-for-like consensus MEDIUM
RJF Guide Capital-markets outlook (4Q FY26) UNCHANGED constructive pipeline; 4Q IB cons $297M LOW
RJF Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.0% LOW
RJF Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — elevated pre-print bar caps follow-through LOW