ROL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ROL Report Revenue (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$1.11B vs. cons ~$1.10B MEDIUM
ROL Report Organic revenue growth (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~7.5% vs. cons ~7.0% MEDIUM
ROL Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~$0.33 vs. cons ~$0.33 LOW
ROL Guide FY26 organic growth framework UNCHANGED guide ~7-8% organic +2-3% M&A vs. cons ~7-8% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ROL Guide FY26 adj. earnings growth UNCHANGED guide ~double-digit % vs. cons ~9-10% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ROL Guide Adj. EBITDA margin (y/y) UNKNOWN guide ~flat-to-slightly-down vs. cons ~+20-30bps y/y (Q2/2H2026) LOW
ROL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% LOW
ROL Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) Deeply de-rated defensive (down ~33% from high, near 52-wk lows) into a low-expectations print; an in-line-to-slight-beat with the full-year 7-8% organic framework reaffirmed by the new CFO removes tail risk and supports a modest relief bounce, but lingering insurance/claims margin uncertainty and CFO-transition skepticism cap out-period estimate revisions, so the initial pop stabilizes rather than compounds. Downside if Q2 margins miss again like Q1 (the key credibility test) would flip this to a fade. LOW