SLB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-24

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SLB Report Adjusted EPS MISS pred ~$0.46 vs. cons $0.52 MEDIUM
SLB Report Total Revenue MISS pred ~$8.55B vs. cons $8.71B MEDIUM
SLB Report Middle East & Asia Revenue MISS pred ~$2.35B vs. cons ~$2.60B MEDIUM
SLB Guide FY2026 EPS/earnings framework (H2 recovery narrative) LOWER guide ~$2.05-2.15 FY26 vs. cons ~$2.25 (FY2026) MEDIUM
SLB Guide Q3 2026 EPS guide LOWER guide ~$0.53 vs. cons $0.58 (Q3 2026) LOW
SLB Guide 2026 Shareholder Returns (buybacks+dividends) UNCHANGED guide ~$4.0B vs. cons $4.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
SLB Guide Data Center Solutions exit run-rate UNCHANGED guide ~$1.0B exit run-rate vs. cons $1.0B (YE2026) MEDIUM
SLB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -5.0% MEDIUM
SLB Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) HAL's Q2 print already showed Street underestimating Middle East margin damage even with in-line EPS, and SLB's own Q1 recovery assumption (mid-quarter easing) was invalidated by Qatar/Iraq force-majeure extensions through October. A Q2 EPS/margin miss paired with a cautious or reduced full-year/H2 framework should trigger sell-side model updates that cut out-quarter (Q3/Q4/FY26) EPS and FCF estimates over the following days, pulling the stock lower in follow-through fashion rather than stabilizing, since the negative revision cycle (analogous to HAL, whose stock kept sliding after initial reaction) tends to play out over multiple sessions as models are rebuilt around a longer disruption timeline. MEDIUM