STLD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
STLD Report Diluted EPS MISS pred ~$3.53 vs. cons $3.628 HIGH
STLD Report Steel operations EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$825M vs. cons $817.2M MEDIUM
STLD Report Aluminum EBITDA MISS pred ~$5M vs. cons $7.0M LOW
STLD Guide Steel operations EBITDA (Q3 2026) BETTER guide equivalent ~$1.10B vs. cons $1.082B MEDIUM
STLD Guide Aluminum EBITDA (Q3 2026) BETTER guide equivalent ~$70M vs. cons $67.5M LOW
STLD Guide Capital expenditures (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$600M vs. cons $598.5M HIGH
STLD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.5% LOW
STLD Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — constructive Q3 commentary offsets the preannounced Q2 miss LOW